The Taylor Swift Wedding Problem is Worse Than You Think & Big Reckless Ben Lego Scandal Updates
PDS Published 06/25/2026
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Taylor Swift wedding problem. It is way bigger than you probably even realize. You've got big, big news on the Reckless Ben LEGO scandal. We go inside why these Venezuelan earthquakes were so horrible and devastating and what to expect. We're talking about all of that and even more on today's brand-new Philip DeFranco Show, your daily dive into the news.
Starting with just past 6 p.m. yesterday, the earth just started shaking like it's really never done before in Venezuela. People were caught in the middle of showering. They were watching the World Cup. They were in the middle of shopping. They then all ran for safety when they realized what was happening.
A 7.2 magnitude earthquake struck around 105 miles west of Caracas, leaving people shaken. But that was kind of just a preview because exactly 39 seconds later, another even stronger quake hit, this one clocking in at a magnitude of 7.5, making it the most powerful earthquake in Venezuela since 1900.
And what we've seen already is horrifying, but also it might get worse over the coming days. According to the president, at least 164 people are confirmed dead so far, with nearly a thousand more suffering injuries. The huge thing is that the U.S. Geological Survey is estimating that the death toll could rise to as much as 10,000. In fact, they're saying that there's a 30% chance it could go up to as much as 100,000.
Though I do want to be clear, that is based on the worst-case scenario. It is based on historical earthquake patterns and statistical modeling, not on the current number of casualties.
The fact that two huge earthquakes struck back-to-back and so shallow, just 14 and 6 miles underneath the ground respectively, made this uniquely dangerous. Especially because, for some context, this happened in a country where earthquakes are really not too common. Other countries like Chile and Peru get them way more often.
Plus, yesterday was actually a national holiday, so you had more people at home. Because Venezuela is also a poor country, a lot of those homes are not sturdy, many built from unreinforced brick, masonry, and adobe blocks. Not the kind of stuff that's designed to withstand a once-in-a-century double earthquake.
So dozens of buildings have collapsed, some of them multiple stories high. And we have no idea how many people are trapped, dead or alive, underneath mountains of rubble. And of course, the more time it takes to dig them out, the less likely it is that they'll still be breathing by the time rescuers get to them.
So you've got this race against the clock. Workers and volunteers are doing everything they can to save lives. Meanwhile, you've got panicked and traumatized people flooding the streets. Some staring, shocked, back at the mass of metal and concrete that they used to call homes. Others too afraid to go back inside because who knows, maybe an aftershock delivers a knockout blow to any buildings that are left standing.
As people seek shelter, search for their friends and family, and tell their stories to the media:
"The buildings were shaking. The electricity lines above us were sparking, exploding because of the shaking. Lots of screaming. People panicking."
"I felt everything falling off of my home, of my apartment. I managed to cover myself with the furniture."
"The building superintendent with the baby and older neighbors coming down. But from that building, I only saw that one family got out."
As you can see behind me, neighbors are coming down to the streets.
In the worst-hit areas, you had streets choked with debris and electric poles, with some parts flooded from burst water pipes. That, of course, makes it a lot harder for first responders to get where they need to go.
And the country's main airport, where international aid would normally land, shut down due to severe damage.
One of the hardest-hit regions you're seeing is La Guaira, where over 100 buildings have collapsed according to the UN.
So naturally, you've got millions of Venezuelans living outside of the country trying to contact their loved ones or make sure they're okay. That's proving difficult since many areas lost power, internet, and cell service.
And then on top of that, as part of the national state of emergency declared by Acting President Jose Rodriguez, subway and natural gas services were paused in Caracas, while also closing down schools for the next week and turning some of those into temporary shelters and donation centers.
You also have healthcare professionals in the country being asked to report to hospitals immediately to care for this influx of patients.
But even after all that, things might get worse. And I don't just mean because they're going to be discovering more people and things like that. Rather, because seismologists think at least one aftershock of magnitude five or greater is likely over the next week.
While rescuers are cleaning up the current mess, they're also bracing for more buildings that could come crashing down at any minute.
And also, as this is playing out, you have many pointing out that this historic disaster is coming after years of corruption and mismanagement, as well as crippling U.S. sanctions. All of that has already left Venezuela's infrastructure crumbling, including electricity, transit, and healthcare.
Despite Trump's promises of a golden age of prosperity there, there's been little evidence of an economic recovery since he kidnapped Nicolas Maduro back in January.
And now you've got the U.S. Geological Survey estimating that these quakes could wipe out anywhere from 1% to 7% of the country's GDP.
So now Trump's pick to govern the country, Rodriguez, has to manage this crisis while keeping the economy under control, appeasing the Maduro loyalists in government, and satisfying Trump's demands that she open the country to American companies.
And all that while her approval rating is sitting at 25% right now and her perceived legitimacy is in tatters, with critics saying Trump basically crowned her like a colonial viceroy.
Though I will say she's not going to have to deal with this on her own. The UN, several Latin American countries, and of course the United States are swooping in to provide aid.
As Marco Rubio explained:
"I had an opportunity to talk earlier this morning with Elsie Rodriguez, the acting president. We're already deploying search and rescue teams from Fairfax County, Virginia, and Los Angeles. The airport there is badly damaged, so we'll have to rely on the Department of Defense to deploy assets there."
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Then from that, let's pivot to a much lighter story, something a little more pop culture. Especially because it's been popping up more and more, and that is that there are millions of dollars now being wagered on prediction markets over Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.
And I think everything about this story makes me feel old. And like I hate everything. And I don't like it about myself, but also maybe I just don't like it about society. I don't know.
The bets include: when will it happen, who will attend, where will it be, who will be the bridesmaids and groomsmen, and even whether Taylor will get pregnant before tying the knot.
Quick aside: doesn't it feel like it says something about society that we looked at all the celebrity obsession over the past several years, and then the celebrities that have spoken out against it, the horrifying crash-outs we've seen, like Britney Spears?
Do you remember the livestreams around Britney? Apparently the lesson we learned was, "Man, I wish I could have bet on Britney Spears shaving her head in my parlay."
But yeah, this is just part of society now. You can gamble on everything.
With Taylor specifically, ever since they got engaged, there's just been so much speculation. Early reports claimed that Taylor had paid off a couple so that she could get married at a fancy hotel in Rhode Island next to her beach house in June. But that weekend came and went with no wedding.
Then more recent reports suggested that it would be at Madison Square Garden on the weekend of July 3rd, with over a thousand people in attendance. Apparently one of the appeals being that there's thorough security and no windows there, so paparazzi couldn't access it.
Though there is mixed reporting as to whether or not the actual wedding is going to be there. Some think that the Garden is only going to be used for a bigger reception and a smaller ceremony is going to take place elsewhere, which can then kind of create this issue for bettors.
Because on contracts for the wedding location, you have New York City leading the way, but quite a few other locations are in play as well.
So with that, you have the rules saying that if multiple wedding ceremonies occur in different locations, for example a civil and a symbolic ceremony, only the first wedding ceremony to occur and be publicly reported by a source agency will govern the contract.
Which again, just opens the door for so much ridiculousness.
One, there's even more of a reason that you can't trust people around you or people you're in business with. Who's leaking stuff? Maybe they don't even leak it. Maybe they do some insider trading. Then people see the insider trading and all of a sudden everyone knows about your wedding.
And two, with prediction markets having these specific rules and things that have to qualify, there's a lot of opportunity for manipulation and people to get screwed out of their money.
Which I don't feel like I'm breaking any news here. More people lose money on these sites than win. It's actually a shocking minority that not only win on these platforms, but win anything meaningful.
All of this isn't just TMZ and Page Six reporting on it. You've got The New York Times reporting about it. In fact, they did a major report seemingly confirming an MSG wedding, saying it'll be a multi-day event, that permits were filed to shut down nearby streets, members of the Kansas City Chiefs had booked hotels nearby, and officers who work at the train station below the venue have apparently been told about the wedding.
And so then you had people feeling pretty confident throwing big bucks on there.
On Kalshi, there's around $2.5 million on the location alone, and another million on Polymarket. There's $300,000 on the guest list.
And some names make sense: Jack Antonoff, Patrick Mahomes, Selena Gomez.
But then also Andrew Tate was at 16%.
I don't know. Maybe there's something happening that I didn't notice because I have a life. Is it like a stupid situation where Andrew Tate bet on Andrew Tate being there and he's gonna storm the wedding?
But also with this, The New York Times hit on kind of the note that I'm hitting, noting that prediction markets have changed fandoms.
One communications professor described it as "parasocial exploding."
With these two people specifically, it feels like it's kind of the perfect storm.
On Travis's side, a lot of people that watch him are already sports gamblers. So for a lot of people, this is just an extension of that.
Then as far as the Swifties, they're like an army of private investigators. One of Taylor's big things is leaving clues and Easter eggs for her fans. They're used to doing the work.
And now all of a sudden, for some of them—not saying a majority—there's this monetary incentive.
And actually there, you had another professor adding:
"If you can pick up patterns and recognize patterns in Taylor's behavior and the Easter eggs, and get really good at thinking through the numerology, it's a natural expansion to say, wait a minute, why don't I make a little money off of this weird superpower?"
Though with that, Taylor generally is not leaving Easter eggs about her real life.
Which is why you've had a number of fans saying things like:
"I don't think that you can really call yourself a supporter of an artist if you're trying to place bets about their personal life."
But the thing is, one, people are betting. And two, you're seeing people already turn a profit.
One bettor on Polymarket, for example, managed to score a few thousand dollars after going on a betting spree about their engagement just hours before it was announced.
And if any of this is making you feel weird, know that you're not alone. I don't just mean me, but yes, let's bond. Let's have a little support group.
Also, recent polling suggests that both Republicans and Democrats prefer that these markets be federally regulated.
In fact, one of the things you're seeing is that a lot of states right now feel like things are a little too loose at the federal level, and they're feeling the need to step in.
So for example, Kentucky recently sued Polymarket and an online casino, with the state's attorney general arguing:
"These multi-billion dollar corporations and their legal fictions don't pass the sniff test."
Claiming that they're bypassing consumer protection and tax requirements, as well as doing business without a state gaming license.
But Trump's people do not like that.
In fact, just this week, the CFTC sued Kentucky for its intervention, arguing that Kentucky is the latest state attempting to shut down federally regulated event contracts.
Adding:
"As I've consistently pledged, the CFTC is firmly committed to maintaining its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets."
"Today's lawsuit against Kentucky is yet another example of the commission protecting its federal interests."
That actually makes Kentucky now the ninth state that the CFTC has sued.
So with that, just this morning, you had Democratic Senators Jeff Merkley and Richard Blumenthal sending a letter to the Appropriations Committee asking them to stop the CFTC from using federal funding to prevent states and tribes from enforcing their gambling laws.
Adding that:
"The CFTC's actions here will only fuel a gambling public health crisis and interfere with states' and tribes' longstanding prerogative to regulate or even restrict gambling."
Arguing that these states have rightfully identified these platforms as gambling and that the CFTC should not be getting in their way.
And then there's more we've got to dive into in just a minute. But first, let me thank a sponsor.
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But then diving right back into the news.
We've got to talk about the Postmaster General because the Postmaster General just told senators that the USPS will refuse to deliver mail-in ballots to states that do not give the Trump administration lists of sensitive voter information as required under an executive order that Trump signed in March.
But then listen.
Twenty-four hours later, a federal judge struck down major parts of Trump's executive order.
Because even though Trump votes by mail, he says that it's fraud because Democrats vote more through mail, and so he's been trying to limit it.
Specifically, this executive order would direct the Department of Homeland Security to create a national list of citizens in each state using data from citizenship and naturalization records, Social Security records, and other federal databases.
Then once that's complete, the order mandates that the Postal Service can only provide absentee ballots to people on those citizenship lists.
You also have Trump's order instructing the DOJ to prioritize investigating and prosecuting state and local election officials who issue federal ballots to people who are deemed ineligible to vote.
Right. In addition to being very controversial, this executive order was widely panned as very illegal according to experts.
Because the Constitution very clearly gives state legislatures and Congress—not the president—the power to set rules for federal elections. Which is why you've had critics slamming the move as a transparent effort by Trump to federalize elections and get them under his control.
But of course, a big part of Trump 2.0 is just: do it, break stuff, and see what happens.
With the administration moving full steam ahead to implement this policy, you then saw just a few weeks ago the USPS introducing a new rule that would force states to provide the names, addresses, and ballot barcode numbers for anyone who requests a mail-in ballot.
A move that would functionally give the Trump administration a federal absentee voter database.
You had The New York Times reporting earlier this month that the rule would also allow the Postal Service to refuse to deliver absentee ballots in states that do not turn over the sensitive voter information.
Reporting that the vaguely written policy appears to establish broad authority for the agency to intervene in the mail voting process, and withholding some mail services in states where voters rely heavily on mail balloting could affect millions of Americans.
Now, very notably here, the Postal Service rule hasn't been finalized. It's still undergoing a 30-day public comment period, with that process starting earlier this month. And Trump's order directs the agency to issue a final version by the end of July.
But also, back in April, before this rule was publicly proposed, Postmaster General David Steiner told The New York Times that the USPS would defer to the courts regarding the legality of Trump's executive order, and that the agency would absolutely continue to deliver mail-in ballots.
But when pressed by Democratic Senator Gary Peters during a hearing yesterday, he had a very different answer.
Gary Peters: "Yes or no. If a state refuses to turn their absentee voter list over to the federal government, will the Postal Service still mail their ballots under this proposed rule?"
David Steiner: "Under our proposed regulation? No. We would tell the state that we need the manifest in order to..."
Gary Peters: "Look, that's the question we're asking. That's the answer you're telling us. No."
So the proposed rule basically coerces states to conform to these new requirements and hand over their absentee voter rolls or face the consequences of not being able to vote by mail.
Gary Peters: "Some states, that's all they do. You're telling these states either give the federal government this information, trust the federal government, trust the Trump administration will take good care of this information, and if you don't do it, you can't mail absentee ballots. You're going to make a decision that people cannot vote by mail. That's unacceptable."
And so unsurprisingly, Steiner's answer got a lot of backlash.
But that is not where it ended.
Because this morning, you had a federal judge in Boston blocking key parts of Trump's mail-in voting executive order, ruling in favor of a coalition of 23 states and Washington, D.C., that had sued over the policy, arguing that it was clearly unconstitutional.
And you had the judge explicitly writing:
"The Constitution does not grant the President any specific powers over elections."
Arguing that the president does not have any authority to direct DHS to compile voter eligibility lists for each state, and that the USPS has no power to adopt any binding regulations on mail-in voting.
But then also with this, I do want to hit on something that is notable because this story was breaking as I was recording today's show.
We're seeing kind of different reporting around the scope of the ruling.
You've got some outlets like CNN reporting that the decision just applies to the 23 states and D.C. that brought the lawsuit against the order.
Then you also had outlets like Reuters implying that the ruling blocks implementation of the order entirely.
But also, by the way, the Trump administration is going to appeal, so we're going to have to wait to see what happens here.
We should also note that this is not the only kind of election-related loss that Trump has gotten.
On Monday, you had a different federal judge blocking the Trump administration from using a centralized database that aggregated Americans' sensitive personal information to check voter eligibility.
The system in question there is called the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements, or SAVE.
And it was overhauled by the Trump administration last month.
While it was meant to flag potential non-citizens and deceased voters, some foreign-born U.S. citizens have been wrongfully flagged as potential non-citizens.
You had the federal judge in that case ruling that the system could result in citizens being improperly purged from voter rolls, and that the tool as it currently exists cannot be used.
And she also argued that Congress had expressly banned the federal government from centralizing Americans' personal identifying information, claiming that the federal agencies that created the SAVE program knew that the database violates those statutory protections.
And then literally just yesterday, you had another federal judge blocking most of a Trump executive order from taking effect that would have required people to provide proof of citizenship in order to vote and prevented mail ballots from being counted if they arrived after Election Day, even if they were postmarked beforehand.
With the judge ruling that Trump had zero authority to set those requirements under the Constitution.
I will say, the actual impact there is not that big. It doesn't change the status quo. In fact, that same judge had already issued a preliminary injunction.
But this latest ruling does make the move permanent.
Though again, the Trump administration can appeal.
But then from that, for our final block today, let's slam in some more news you need to know.
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First up here, we've got Reckless Ben back in the news.
You've got Ben saying the gag order that kept him quiet in his battle against Bricks & Minifigs is done. Rather, almost done.
It's been a minute, but to bring you up to speed and oversimplify it:
Ben blew up in the news after he launched an investigation into Bricks & Minifigs over their dealings with Brian Manziel, claiming Manziel was cheated out of his full payment after selling his late father's LEGO collection, which he now believes to be worth more than $100,000.
The whole thing's been chaotic. The police got involved. There's all this bodycam footage. Ben said that he fled to Mexico, worried about getting arrested.
One of the last things that we heard from him was that he was being forced into silence.
"Episode three is finally finished after crazy all-nighters and basically destroying my health. But I can't post it or I will go to jail. Now that I'm officially served, I cannot even mention this company. This order was put on me because this company was telling the court that I was making bomb threats. I was planning on murdering the manager and employees, which obviously I didn't do."
So that was a couple of weeks ago.
Now he's posted a new video saying that he and his team talked to Bricks & Minifigs' lawyers. And he claimed that they were worried that Ben's team would destroy them in a lawsuit.
Right now, lawsuits related to the harassment claims Bricks & Minifigs' owners have brought against Ben, which also named Ben's associates as co-defendants.
You've got Ben saying that it was obvious that Bricks & Minifigs was losing in court.
And obviously we have to keep in account that this is coming from him. This is his point of view.
It does really stand out based off of how Ben left things before.
With all this, you had Ben saying that he and his team are playing hardball with Bricks & Minifigs, saying that he would take it easier on them online if they lifted the gag order that they had on him.
Though there, I gotta note, other reports have said that Bricks & Minifigs' owners wanted to pull back on the gag order because they said it unlawfully restricted speech by individuals not directly named as primary defendants.
Whatever the case is, it does appear like the gag order is on the way out.
You've got Ben saying that he expects to be able to upload Part Three of this whole saga pretty soon.
We also know that Part Three was originally going to be about 20 minutes long, but now he's expecting it to be 40 to 45 minutes as he adds more updates.
Then on top of that, he says he has an Episode Four in the works.
As far as the court dates go, there's a preliminary injunction hearing that's scheduled for next week.
And then after that, we have a few more court dates related to charges that he got in March, which include stalking, trespassing, and targeted residential picketing.
But then also this afternoon, Ben's friend tweeted a claim that the judge has now declined the restraining order because it was considered too broad, meaning that Ben still would be able to talk openly about the situation.
So by no means is this over, but seemingly a very big update.
As far as specifically with the case around the LEGOs that started all this, he says that he expects that to take around two years to play out in court.
Well, obviously there's going to be a lot of eyes on this company.
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Right. Bricks & Minifigs.
There's a lot of eyes right now on another company, and that is Wendy's, because they just had their biggest jump in share price since 2021.
Why?
Well, it's WallStreetBets again.
Seeing people far and wide right now saying they want to save Wendy's.
Because Wendy's has been on a steady decline for the past three years, with stock dropping by over 70% since 2023.
If you've had meme stocks on your bingo card, you've seen that post.
Wendy's got a 26% boost in stock price yesterday, with analysts saying this is definitely another iteration of meme stock mania.
Or with many saying this is kind of like what happened with Krispy Kreme, GoPro, GameStop, and AMC.
And yesterday, you had an investment officer saying that Wendy's likely came into focus because of its low share price and the high proportion of shares that have been sold short as consumer stocks are squeezed by economic trends.
Adding that the Reddit crowd happily found some nervous short sellers.
But of course, then with all that, you have experts warning this is not a sure thing.
Meme stocks don't automatically mean you get a bag.
Granted, you have examples of people making a lot of money with the meme stocks of the past.
But there are also a lot of people that bought and sold at horrible times and lost money.
But it will be interesting to see what happens with Wendy's because they actually just brought on former Potbelly CEO Robert Wright to lead the charge.
They actually have another former Potbelly executive, Steve Serravalle, joining as Chief Financial and Strategy Officer.
With all this, I would say, who the hell knows what's going to happen?
As much as people like to shit on the Redditors and the meme stock traders, honestly, every time I look at the stock market, there's just something that does not make sense.
Probably the most mainstream, in-your-face one recently being the SpaceX IPO, which has actually plummeted since its high.
But also, who the hell knows what's going to happen because apparently nothing is real.
I don't know if that's a message of hope and possible escape or the scariest fucking thing in the world that could just tear down the global economy.
I'm a cynic, so it really feels like the latter.
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And then also in the news, you have doctors in America rationing cancer drugs.
The U.S. is now in the early stages of a shortage of generic chemotherapy drugs.
This is mainly for three reasons:
One, manufacturing.
Two, shipping.
And three, some companies have just decided to stop making them.
And the shocking—but not shocking—reason for that is because, on top of chemotherapy drugs being harder to produce and having to be manufactured under sterile conditions, they also have relatively low prices.
That's despite the fact that they're some of the most effective treatments for things like breast, lung, head and neck cancers.
And three of the big ones that doctors are already having a hard time securing are carboplatin, cisplatin, and oxaliplatin.
With doctors calling these three drugs the backbone of a ton of cancer therapies.
And so now they're reportedly having meetings to determine who gets to have the drugs.
AKA, who gets to survive.
And so, for example, doctors say they're prioritizing scarce doses to younger patients, who tend to see the greatest benefit.
Some have also started spacing out dosing intervals to stretch out the treatments as much as possible.
While HHS said they're considering allowing expanded imports of these drugs from different companies, we're already seeing the worldwide effects.
India raised the price cap on a key ingredient by 50%.
Meanwhile, Europe is warning that another drug used to treat a bunch of very common cancers might not rebound until next year.
Though there is one kind of light in this darkness.
Mark Cuban's Cost Plus Drug Company has recently started to manufacture two cancer drugs, and that includes carboplatin.
So that might help in offsetting the shortage to some degree.
But then all of that brings us to our final story.
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Studies have found that there are mutant rats in big cities like D.C., New York, and Philly who have become resistant to rat poison.
And in some cases, they're too smart for rat traps.
Researchers are saying rodents are showing a much higher mutation frequency than they thought before.
While pest experts are saying they're getting smarter by the day.
They're just ignoring the traps and going right over them.
In a recent study, more than a third of the 143 rats and 84% of the 147 mice that were tested in the New York area and D.C. were found to have at least one genetic mutation that makes them resistant to rat poison.
And that's not even mentioning several other genetic variants that may or may not contribute to the resistance.
As it gets worse from there because researchers also said that resistance appears to be much more widespread in house mice than many people realized.
And while some people are going to go, "More mice."
You've got experts noting that there is a bigger danger than just being kind of nasty.
Because both rats and mice can spread diseases that are deadly to humans, like the hantavirus that just had everyone in a panic a few weeks ago.
Which is why you have researchers saying rodents are more than a nuisance.
As resistance becomes more common, it becomes even more important to use science-based management strategies that protect both public health and the environment.
That's why you have some studies trying to find new alternatives to kill rodents.
Things like blood-thinning rodenticides that cause pests to basically bleed out, along with other chemicals that they haven't had time to adapt to.
But then also with that, you have experts warning that whatever chemicals are used here, we have to be very careful because those chemicals are also most likely going to come across other humans and other animals.
And so for now, you've got the researchers looking for more strategies.
Depending on how long that takes, we could see some serious consequences in the near future.
But that, my friend, you beautiful bastard, is the end of your Thursday show.
Thank you for watching. Like and subscribe.
And actually, if you've been subscribed, an extra big thank you.
Because in fact, as I finish up today's show, I am immediately heading over to VidCon because, funny enough, they are inducting me into their Hall of Fame along with Markiplier, Michelle Phan, and Casey Neistat.
So whether this is day one or year twenty that you've been on this weird ride, thank you so much.
Thank you for watching.
I love your faces.
And I'll see you right back here next time.
