Trump vs Massie Exposes Why Trump Is Screwed in November
PDS Published 05/18/2026
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To be honest, one of the most important things today is that tomorrow is a big — you've got elections, primary elections.
And there may be no primary election more important to Donald Trump and in general, than the one that's taking place in Kentucky.
More money has been spent on this race than any other House primary and it'll likely be the best test yet over whether Trump's hold over the Republican Party remains absolutely solid, despite his overall approval rating hitting a second term.
So of course I'm talking about the election to determine whether Representative Thomas Massie, a man that Trump has described as a pathetic loser, a sick Waco, and a moron, wins the Republican nomination for Kentucky's fourth.
Because really, whoever wins this primary, they're going to win reelection come November, since the district is so solidly Republican.
And so if Massie wins, he gets to continue being essentially a radical Republican, which means that he breaks from the president on things like releasing the Epstein files, because Massie and a handful of Republicans, including former Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, committed the sin of wanting to get those files released, even though there was a thing that the Trump coalition campaigned on.
Of course, if Massie loses, there is going to be one less Republican in office willing to stand up to the president on certain key issues.
With that, of course, we have to mention that Massie is definitely not the first target of Trump's campaign to eradicate dissent within the party.
We've seen things like Trump helped unseat Republican state lawmakers in Indiana, who he blamed for failing his redistricting push there last year.
Then just this last weekend, he took credit for the primary defeat of Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy, who's been on Trump's bad side ever since voting to convict the president in 2021 at his impeachment trial.
In fact, Trump actually personally recruited and backed Cassidy's main challenger, Congresswoman Julia Letlow, who won about 45% of the vote.
Though also that only tells part of the story because notably, another candidate, a former Trump administration official who also campaigned on loyalty to the president, also finished ahead of Cassidy with around 28% of the vote.
And so one, Cassidy's hopes for reelection just shattered. And it was an embarrassing defeat.
And two, since neither won an outright majority, the two top finishers now have to advance to a runoff.
But as far as Cassidy's defeat, you had Trump celebrating on social media saying:
“Cassidy's disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it's nice to see that his political career is over.”
And now, even just based on his most recent posts, Thomas Massie is kind of the next domino in Donald Trump's sights.
In his latest many posts insulting Massie, you had Trump describing him as the worst congressman in the long and storied history of the Republican Party. He called him an obstructionist and a grandstander.
That coming less than a day from a separate post calling him a weak and pathetic RINO and a totally ineffective loser.
But then also in that post, you had Trump praising Massie's challenger, a guy by the name of Edgar Galvin.
He's a former Navy SEAL. He's a fifth-generation farmer who had only run for public office once before, losing to a guy by the name of Aaron Reed, who is also a former Navy SEAL as well as a gun store owner and was actually Trump's first choice to run against Massie.
But Reed decided against it.
And while he also vowed to stay neutral out of respect, he has not stayed neutral.
Saying about Galvin in one interview:
“He has the personality of a mop.”
Saying:
“I don't think anybody is going to vote for Edgar Galvin. They'll either vote for Massie or against Massie.”
That's actually an assessment that was shared by Massie himself, who told NBC News this:
“People aren't going to be voting for me or voting for him on Election Day. They're going to be voting for me or voting against Trump.”
And that actually might be an opinion that Trump shares, because he previously suggested that all he needed to run against Massie was someone with a pulse.
Trump also said that with Edgar he got more.
“I got somebody with a warm body but a big, beautiful brain and a great patriot. He's unbelievable.”
But really, Galvin's most important qualification, at least in Trump's view, is his just unflinching loyalty.
And you have Massie arguing that this is a negative, claiming his opponent would be little more than a yes man to the president.
Galvin pushed back on that saying:
“I guess I should have gotten five Bronze Stars to demonstrate my personal courage and independence to act on my own. I am no rubber stamp, will never be.”
But also notably, he refused to even participate in a debate against Massie and he skipped county events where both candidates were invited to speak.
He also proudly said at one of his most recent campaign stops that he is 100% behind the president and what he is doing to turn our nation around.
He's really presented himself as being a quote-unquote team player, saying:
“I'm going to go to Speaker Johnson and the president and JD, I'm going to say, where do you need me?”
But also, like what's really wild is while Galvin very much looks like a yes man, Massie is not a no man if you actually look at his record.
He votes with Trump and the Republican Party most of the time.
It's just that he's broken ranks on some of the issues that Trump seems to care about.
This goes back to actually before Epstein. It goes back to Trump's first term, when Massie blocked the passage of a Covid relief bill during the pandemic.
That led to Trump calling for Massie to be thrown out of the Republican Party, and the relationship has just gotten worse.
First up in this new term, you had Massie being one of the only two House Republicans to vote against Trump's so-called “big beautiful bill.”
Then also led the charge alongside Democrat Ro Khanna to secure the passage of the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which is an issue he's continued to speak out on.
And that one is described as the final straw for Trump, which is also a view that seems to be shared by the likes of former Republican Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, who resigned after facing the wrath of Trump herself.
You had her writing on Twitter just yesterday:
“There were only four of us Republicans that signed the discharge petition to force the vote to release the Epstein files. Thomas Massie, Nancy Mace, Lauren Boebert and me.”
“And Trump has come after us one by one ever since.”
With her also accusing other Republican members of Congress of being absurdly obedient to the president, who she said was doing everything in his reign of terror to hold them in line.
And adding:
“Wars are being waged, the markets are being manipulated, and the average American is being driven further into ruin while the Epstein class reigns and has yet to face any accountability.”
Actually on the subject of wars being waged, Massie's response to the U.S.-Israel war against Iran has not done him any favors when it comes to Trump's support.
And that's because Massie has sided repeatedly with Democrats in votes to end the war, with him also condemning aid to Israel as a misuse of taxpayer money and speaking out against the influence of the pro-Israel lobby in American politics, including in his own race.
Because like I said at the beginning, this has reportedly been the most expensive House primary in history, at least in terms of ad spending, with more than $32 million going toward ads against Massie.
Roughly $9 million of that came from AIPAC and other pro-Israel interest groups, and around $7 million came from prominent pro-Israel donors via a super PAC launched by Trump allies last June specifically to unseat Massie.
Then connected to that, just last week, Massie announced a bill that attempts to force AIPAC to register under the Foreign Agents Registration Act, telling reporters that he thinks that his race has become a referendum on whether Israel gets to buy seats in Congress.
While also telling Politico:
“My opponent wouldn't even be out of the starting blocks if it weren't for that.”
This aspect of Massie's politics has been especially appealing to some former Trump diehards who have increasingly come out against him in what's been described as this MAGA civil war.
And so that includes a lot of people we've covered on this show recently, like not only MTG, but people like Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens.
And earlier this month, Massie actually appeared on Carlson's show and claimed that at that point, more than $10 million had been spent to take him out.
“It didn't come from regular people. It's come from billionaires. And 95% of it, at least 95%, has come from the Israeli lobby.”
“The real reason that this race is a serious race and I may lose is because a foreign lobby has fully funded to the extent that they've never done in any Republican race ever before.”
You then also saw things like Candace Owens reacting to that clip and announcing that she had endorsed Thomas Massie.
“Who has for a very long time been my favorite congressman because he consistently votes against sending our money overseas and he cannot be bought by AIPAC.”
“He declines that sort of bribery from Israel.”
“And so what do they want? They want him gone.”
“There's no question at all that our government is occupied, that Trump's administration is completely occupied, and they are not serving the American people.”
Also say in just kind of the past few days, there's actually been a clip of Carlson that's been going around on social media that maybe you've seen.
It's been shared by similarly controversial figures like Alex Jones and Jackson Hinkle.
But also there's a version that appears to have somehow gotten picked up and shared by a Russian state-controlled media outlet.
And while the original is actually from a couple of months ago, a few days before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, you have a lot of people saying it still stands out now.
Because you had Carlson claiming that Israel had to act then because there were only going to be more Thomas Massies in the U.S. in the future.
“The only reason we're having this war is because Israel wants it. This is their last chance. They believe this presidency is the last presidency where they're going to have unequivocal bipartisan support. Period.”
“You can't primary every Thomas Massie, and there's a whole army of them coming at some point, because everyone can see what's going on.”
And you know, whatever you think about Carlson and a lot of the people that are connected to this with their conspiracy theories or concerns about their credibility, we're at the same time seeing people who do not like them saying, hey, there is some truth to what's being said.
People pointing to the fact that Israel's popularity is declining in the U.S.
More politicians are speaking out.
Netanyahu has said that he wants to draw down Israel's reliance on American military aid, seemingly tying that decision to declining support for his government.
Though notably, he attributed that to manipulated social media rather than what many people and experts say are crimes that have been committed in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria.
And with all that said, bringing it back to Massie, while there may be more Massies in the future, it is not clear that the actual one is going to be able to win his own race.
The available polling, it's not all that reliable, but what is out there suggests that a win or loss is a very real possibility.
Though we will say, as far as the prediction markets, those are betting against him.
And Massie, for his part, he has argued that the outcome is going to come down to turnout, especially whether younger people come out and vote.
And as all that's playing out, you have fellow lawmaker Senator Lindsey Graham, a supporter of the war in Iran, arguing that Massie, like Bill Cassidy, he's only going to get what's coming to him for not always siding with Trump.
“Bill Cassidy lost because he tried to destroy Trump. Massie's going to lose because he's trying to destroy the agenda.”
“You can disagree with President Trump, but if you try to destroy him, you're going to lose because this is the party of Donald Trump.”
Graham appeared to try to argue that Republicans could disagree with Trump, but he just kind of seemed to suggest it couldn't be in any meaningful way.
And that does seem to be the majority view in the Republican Party right now.
And of course, all of this, it's only one part of the story. This is primary season.
But there are going to be a number of competitive races in the general election.
While it's not going to be this specific race, there are trends out there.
And so the question, especially come November, will be: will these especially younger Republicans that do not align with the president on things like the Epstein files, the Iran war, and things like that — do they punish Trump and the Republican Party for all of that, as well as pushing out voices like Massie's?
Because many of Massie's supporters see his supposed crimes as being someone who wants the Epstein files released and doesn't want a war of choice with Iran.
With many arguing that he appears to be embodying the actual ideals of some sort of America First thing rather than whatever Trump's version is.
But only time will tell.
And regarding the primary, it'll tell pretty quickly.
So in the meantime, of course I'd love to know your thoughts, opinions, and reactions, but also maybe your predictions.
What do you think is going to go down at the polls?
I am personally a begrudging cynic.
I think that Massie is going to get voted out, but again, where the polling is, where the margin of error is, anything could happen.
And then there's more we got to dive into in just a minute.
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But then diving right back into the news, Ebola is apparently back and it's already in the United States.
There are 350 suspected cases globally, 91 suspected deaths as of recording, no vaccines, and officials say that the outbreak is bigger than we even know.
And so right now you have the World Health Organization declaring an Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda as a global health emergency.
As far as in the U.S., reports say that at least six people have been exposed to the virus.
One of those is confirmed and three others are said to have high-risk contact.
And diving into the specifics, the suspected cases and deaths that we've seen so far are linked to an Ebola strain called Bundibugyo.
It first popped up in a 2007 outbreak infecting 149 people, killing 37.
The next time we then saw it was in 2012, when it infected 57 and killed 29.
So this appears to only be the third time that we're dealing with this rare strain.
And we're looking at a fatality rate of around 30 to 40%.
And on top of that, it appears you can have the virus for weeks before you start showing symptoms.
While you aren't usually contagious up until that point, the early symptoms like fatigue or fever, they're easy to write off as something else.
And so there are concerns that a lot of damage could be done to spread it before you realize what it is.
So that ends up being one of the reasons why officials say that the numbers that we've seen so far, they might not even tell the full story.
The timing here could be better, is one way I'd put it.
Global health agencies are still recovering from Covid. Funding battles could backfire on us here in the United States.
And all of that is while trust in public health institutions is deeply fractured.
But now officials have put a level four travel advisory in place for the DRC and Uganda while they try to get Americans there to safe quarantine locations.
One source even said that they could be moving to a U.S. military base in Germany, but that hasn't been confirmed.
While the CDC wouldn't answer any direct questions about the patient with symptoms that reports have mentioned, they said that the overall risk for Americans was low.
With them stressing that they did not expect this to be some second coming of a pandemic.
But still, some scientists worry that even if the immediate risk is low, the bigger concern is just how weak the U.S.'s response systems have become.
Or for this, or something else.
I mean, since last year, the U.S. has backed out of the World Health Organization, cut funding from the U.S. Agency for International Development — right, USAID — and cut a lot of funding for the CDC.
You also had Elon Musk and his DOGE bros accidentally cutting four to five USAID contracts related to Ebola.
And while he said that his team corrected that immediately with no interruption, when it was all said and done, $1.6 billion out of the $2.2 billion set aside for Ebola prevention was cut.
And even back then, you had officials concerned, saying that it was going to have an impact on the groups meant to prepare us for moments like this.
As the WHO has tried to address this, two important phenomena have happened.
“One is they've had to downsize considerably, meaning that there are less resources available to support countries around the world with technical assistance.”
“There's less resources for data monitoring for potential threats such as pandemics, emerging disease threats.”
“There's less resources for helping to support supply chains.”
“All of those direct impacts of the financial consequences of our withdrawal are significant.”
To put it in other words, with these cuts, we just don't have the people or the resources in place to track, predict, prevent, or manage these types of outbreaks for ourselves or the countries that we used to support.
And we also know that because this is not the first time since we've made those cuts that things have gotten worse.
When another Ebola outbreak hit Uganda in early 2025 without U.S. support, the president of the Uganda Medical Association said they were notably less prepared.
They didn't even have the money to get enough protective gear for the medical workers trying to save lives, which meant that a lot of them just had to bow out of helping for their own safety.
In a way that you had them saying:
“With no USAID money and CDC expertise, it was like Uganda was left to fend for itself.”
And again, you have to look at the bigger picture here, because Uganda is just one example.
The Ebola outbreak is just one example.
Even with other recent outbreaks like the ongoing Hantavirus situation, there is a growing concern that health systems are being tested on multiple fronts at once.
And depending on where in the world these diseases and viruses hit, that could leave millions of people defenseless.
“As countries no longer have access to support their health systems, we are starting to see them disintegrate.”
“We are seeing those impacts in very real terms right now.”
“There's an estimated over 750,000 excess deaths that will occur this year because of these changes, most of those in children.”
And so we've yet another preventable virus spreading because the people in charge of the systems designed to catch it were kicked out of their jobs.
It's why you would want experts saying:
“It is really unusual for an Ebola outbreak to get to this scale before being detected, particularly in DRC, which has a lot of Ebola experience.”
Without the resources to put that expertise to use, now the whole world has to be put on notice.
And none of this had to happen.
From last year's outbreak to what we're seeing now, the people who have died, their lives could have been saved if the U.S. kept supporting the agencies that were doing the work.
And what I'll add to this is something that I'm worried about with all these outbreaks.
If a few of these things spread and you see them pop up in the news, there's a lot of concern, but then it kind of fizzles out, it may end up lulling a big part of the population into kind of a sense of complacency.
Of, “Oh, well, we're probably fine.”
When something eventually comes around that's like that first wave of Covid and we're just not prepared, it's going to fucking crush us.
And even that might be skipping the step of being worried about what we're seeing now and looking more towards the future already.
Like maybe a little bit too early, I don't know.
But hey, time will tell.
And of course, every death we see in the meantime, it's another example of:
You may not fuck with politics, but politics will fuck with you.
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Let's kind of condense this.
There's more news you need to know today that I want to get into, starting with a situation in Austin where three people were arrested after a two-day shooting and crime spree.
Between Saturday night and Sunday morning, Austin saw a spree of burglaries, thefts, gun thefts, and at least 12 shootings.
And while luckily no one died, at least four people were injured, including one who's in serious but stable condition at a local trauma center.
The whole situation even triggered a shelter-in-place order for South Austin until police caught up with the people responsible.
People who turned out to be a group of teenagers, with two of them showing up on camera at several points during the spree and another joining the party at some point.
So police, they were able to track them down and catch them in a traffic stop where all three took off running.
The 15 and the 17-year-old, they were caught and taken to a juvenile detention center, while the third 16-year-old was on the run until getting caught late last night.
According to the local police, these kids allegedly stole multiple vehicles.
They fired shots at apartment complexes, homes, pedestrians, and even two fire stations.
Right now, there's no clear reason why they decided to LARP Grand Theft Auto this weekend.
With Austin Police Chief Lisa Davis saying:
“I don't know what motive would drive anybody to come and drive around senselessly in this city, in multiple parts of the city, shooting.”
But what we do know is that this is kind of not out of nowhere.
The 17-year-old already had a warrant out for theft from the same gun store that the 15-year-old allegedly stole from this weekend.
Whatever the reason, it left the community in South Austin pretty rattled.
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And actually speaking of rattled, we then jump into the world of business and finance where investors are even sweating over this bond yield surge.
Over the last week, we've seen a sharp increase in bond yields around the world.
Talking 10-year U.S. Treasury yields trading at nearly their highest level since early last year.
Yields in the U.K. hit a 28-year high, and Japan's 30-year borrowing costs were pushed over 4%.
And if you have no idea what the hell I just said, the translation is investors around the world are simultaneously getting nervous.
It looks like it's reflecting the very serious concerns regarding the impact that energy costs are going to have on the global economy.
And of course, we have the war in Iran to thank for that.
With the chief investment strategist at CFRA saying:
“Like a domino effect, the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz will keep upward pressure on prices, which will likely continue to push inflation readings higher and cause bond yields to rise.”
And saying:
“This combination will reduce consumer and investor confidence and may trigger a digestion of recent stock price gains.”
And again, to translate, the recent gains in the stock market could kind of just disappear if there is not a permanent solution to the war in Iran.
It's with that you've got people like Jack Ablin, the chief market strategist at Cresset Capital, saying that even a couple-month delay in reopening the Strait of Hormuz to oil and natural gas tankers could lead to, quote:
“A brand new inflation regime for which investors just aren't prepared.”
But also, you know, if the stock market gets hit, then maybe the 10% that are actually benefiting from the economy right now, unlike the 90% that are just having to try and tough it out in life and pay all the increased costs, then maybe they'll care.
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Then you've got the Trump administration just turning three Trump lawsuits against the federal government into a $1.776 billion taxpayer-funded fund.
With the DOJ announcing today that three Trump lawsuits had been settled all at once.
First was over leaked tax returns from his first term.
The second was over the 2022 Mar-a-Lago raid.
And the third was over the Russia investigation.
And so in exchange, the DOJ created what they are officially calling the “Anti-Weaponization Fund.”
And Trump says that that dollar amount of $1.776 billion — 1776 — was based on the projected valuation of future claimants' claims.
Which is really more government-speak for:
They picked a patriotic number and made the math work backwards.
And they're saying that Trump himself receives no money under the deal, just a formal apology.
And the actual money goes to a five-member commission appointed by his attorney general.
And Trump can personally remove any member.
The money can reportedly flow to nearly 1,600 January 6th defendants that Trump already pardoned.
The fund has until December 15th, 2028 — one month before Trump leaves office — to hand out the money.
The settlement being signed by Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, who is also a member of Trump's personal criminal defense team before joining the DOJ.
And something that led to this is you had a federal judge asking whether Trump and the agencies that he runs were even sufficiently adverse for these lawsuits to be valid.
Six court-appointed attorneys concluded that the case raises the specter that the defendants are operating at the president's direction.
And Trump's lawyers, they settled two days before that ruling was due.
And so, in a way, Trump sued himself three times.
His own former lawyer settled it.
Taxpayers appear to be paying it.
His hand-picked commission decides who collects.
And the money can flow to January 6th rioters.
Which is why you have many saying it's being sold as fixing weaponization, but it appears to be weaponization.
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And then finally you had Elon Musk getting demolished in federal court today.
A unanimous jury in Oakland just rejected his entire lawsuit against OpenAI and his former best friend, Sam Altman.
While the trial took three weeks, the jury deliberated for only 90 minutes.
Because in 2015, Musk co-founded OpenAI as a nonprofit.
He put in $38 million, and by 2018, he tried to take control.
The other founders, they said no. He quit.
And in 2023, he launched his own AI company, xAI.
In 2024, Musk sued, claiming that Altman and co-founder Greg Brockman, quote, “stole a charity” by spinning up a for-profit arm.
But the jury's apparent reasoning for throwing this out is that Musk just waited too long.
Three years to file suit, five years after OpenAI went for profit, and a year after launching his own competing AI company.
Something that OpenAI's lead attorney called out in his opening statement, saying:
“It's too late now to gin up something to harm a competitor.”
And not only did the jury agree in 90 minutes, the judge, Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, said after the verdict that she was prepared to dismiss Musk's claims on the spot without even waiting for the jury.
So while Musk wanted $134 billion and Altman's job, he got none of that.
And in fact, the lawyers for OpenAI and Microsoft were seen hugging on their way out.
While this is breaking as I'm recording it, I'm sure Elon Musk is going to respond to this in a completely normal and calm way.
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Then from that we kind of set up for the end of today's show, which is a quick congratulations and the final block of sponsors.
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With that said, then the final thing that I want to talk about today is a piece of news that ends up kind of being a palate cleanser.
Because there is a 73-year-old volunteer cuddler who's been helping babies at the NICU at the Children's Hospital of Richmond at VCU for the last eight years.
Them saying that it's the best gig he's ever had.
“It just feels right.”
And yeah, it just might be the most adorable post-retirement job in existence.
Because, well, Dave Whitlow, he spent over 40 years working as a local government manager.
He shows up every Tuesday and Thursday, puts on his uniform of a hospital gown and gloves, leaves his phone outside of the unit, and gets to just cuddle babies who sometimes weigh less than two pounds.
As far as specifics, he says he gets to hold around five babies every time he comes, and he gets up to eight on a good day.
But also, he's very clear that when he is in there, he means business.
“I watch the monitors first to see whether, positionally, there's anything to do to improve.”
“But he looks pretty good. His sats are at 100%. So that's what we're looking for.”
And then from there, he turns to the nurses.
“I ask the nurse, tell me. Tell me what this child is receiving. What kind of treatment? Is there anything special I need to know about?”
And while, you know, he now has years of experience under his belt, he's a professional, he says, you know, it did take some getting used to.
“I was scared to death. We have two children. They're grown now, and I was like, I can hold babies.”
“But you haven't held a baby-baby in a long time.”
With all this, he talked about how the more comfortable he's gotten with it, the more it's become more than just clinical work.
“The support and spiritual needs of the family and the staff, it all kind of gets tied together here.”
And with that, he said that his message when he leaves these newborns is:
“Grow strong, grow smart, grow honestly.”
I feel like with the world as it is today, when I first read that line, it almost brought a tear to my eye.
That's like, that's how much I needed just a breath of fresh air as far as news.
But then also, like if all of this was not heartwarming enough, when you ask him why he does it, it gets even better.
“I guess it's important to me to think that this is what I want from people in general. Connections. Caring about people. Caring about the future.”
You love to see it.
But then my friend, that brings us to the end of your Monday Philip DeFranco show.
Dive into the comments.
Thank you for watching. Thank you for liking. Thank you for sharing the video to someone that normally just doomscrolls, and hopefully they can just have this little dose of poison so they're connected, but also not overwhelmed.
But hey, no matter what you do, let me just say I love your face, and I'll see you right back here tomorrow.